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Home › Bull Market Peak Indicators › Bitcoin Profitable Days

Bitcoin Profitable Days

Bitcoin profitable days chart: the share of all past days on which BTC closed below today's price — 100% means every earlier buyer is in profit. Updated daily.

Updated · Sep 4, 2026 close
BTC priceProfitable days
Loading chart…

Left axis: BTC price (log). Right axis: share of past days that closed below that day's price (0–100%).

Profitable days
92.5%
of all past days closed below today
Days below today's price
5,455
of 5,897 prior days
Days above today's price
442
buyers currently under water
BTC price
$81,245
Sep 4, 2026 close

Indicator overview

How the Profitable Days is calculated

profitable days = days with close < today's close / all prior days

For each day, Coinfuty counts how many earlier daily closes were below that day's close and divides by the number of earlier days. The result is the share of Bitcoin's history on which a buyer would now be in profit — 100% only at a new all-time high.

What it signals

The metric has never fallen below ~50% since 2013 because Bitcoin's early years were so cheap. It is most useful near the top: readings at 99.5% or above mean price is at or within a hair of its all-time high, and every cycle top by definition sat there.

Limitations

  • Strongly path-dependent — the early sub-$100 years inflate the share permanently.
  • Tells you where price is relative to history, not whether it is expensive.

Frequently asked questions

What share of days is Bitcoin profitable today?

92.5% of all days since 2010 closed below the Sep 4, 2026 close, so a buyer on any of those days is in profit.

Why is the number always so high?

Bitcoin traded under $1,000 for its first seven years, so most historical days are far below any modern price. The metric only becomes informative in its top few percent — readings near 100% mean price is at an all-time high.

How is it different from unrealised profit metrics?

On-chain metrics weight by coins moved on each day; this one weights every day equally and needs only price history, which is why Coinfuty can compute it for any coin.

Coinfuty computes every series on this page from daily BTC close prices and public constants — the Bitcoin halving schedule, block subsidy and published regression coefficients. Values refresh nightly (00:20 UTC) and the current day is patched hourly. These are historical, backward-looking indicators; nothing here is investment advice.

More Bitcoin cycle indicators

All 21 peak signalsRainbow ChartPower Law4-Year CyclePi Cycle TopStock-to-Flow200-Week MAMayer MultiplePuell MultipleAHR9992-Year MA ×5Golden RatioProfitable DaysOI / Market CapFunding Z-ScoreLiquidations / OILong/Short RatioRSI (22-day)Altcoin SeasonBTC DominanceETF Outflow StreakETF HoldingsFear & GreedGlobal M2 vs BitcoinBitcoin ETF Tracker