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Pi Cycle Top Indicator

Pi Cycle Top Indicator chart: the 111-day moving average against twice the 350-day moving average. Their crossover has marked every major Bitcoin cycle top within days. Updated daily.

Updated · Oct 19, 2026 close
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▲ marks every day the 111-day SMA crossed above 2× the 350-day SMA. Log scale.

SMA111 / 2×SMA350
0.48×
cross fires at 1.00×
111-day SMA
$73,254
fast line
2 × 350-day SMA
$153,450
+109.5% above the fast line
BTC price
$82,541
Oct 19, 2026 close
Every Pi Cycle crossDays on which the 111-day SMA crossed above 2× the 350-day SMA
DateBTC close
Apr 25, 2011$2
Apr 7, 2013$153
Dec 5, 2013$1,045
Dec 16, 2017$19,497
Apr 13, 2021$63,420

Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top Indicator today

As of Oct 19, 2026 the 111-day moving average is $73,254 and twice the 350-day moving average is $153,450 — a ratio of 0.48×. The fast line is -52.3% from the cross, so the Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top Indicator has not fired.

The BTC Pi Cycle Top Indicator is a timing tool rather than a valuation gauge: it says nothing until the fast average overtakes the slow one, and every cross so far has landed within days of a cycle high.

Indicator overview

How the Pi Cycle Top Indicator is calculated

signal = SMA(111) crosses above 2 × SMA(350)

Two simple moving averages of the daily close: a fast 111-day line and a slow 350-day line multiplied by two. The ratio 111 / 350 ≈ 0.318, close to π / 10, which gave the indicator its name. The chart shows both lines with price; a marker is placed on every day the fast line crossed above the slow one.

Coinfuty computes both averages from its own daily close series, so the cross dates may differ from other sites by a day where their price source differs.

What it signals

The crossover fired within three days of the 2013, 2017 and April 2021 tops. It is one of the few indicators that timed tops rather than just valuation extremes, but it fires late in a blow-off: by the time it crosses, the move is usually days from ending.

Limitations

  • Four crosses in history — a small sample; the 2021 cross marked the April top, not the November one.
  • The 2× multiplier was chosen by curve-fitting on past tops.

Frequently asked questions

Has the Pi Cycle Top indicator fired?

Not currently. As of Oct 19, 2026 the 111-day SMA sits at 0.48× of twice the 350-day SMA; the signal fires when that ratio reaches 1.00×.

When did the Pi Cycle Top last fire?

The most recent cross was on Apr 13, 2021. All crosses in the series: 2011-04, 2013-04, 2013-12, 2017-12, 2021-04.

Why 111 and 350 days?

The creator tested many pairs and found that 111 and 2×350 crossed within days of every major top; 350 / 111 ≈ 3.15 ≈ π, hence the name. There is no economic reason behind the numbers.

Is Pi Cycle a sell signal?

Historically the cross has marked tops with remarkable timing, but with only four instances and a curve-fitted definition it should be one input among several, not a standalone trigger.

Coinfuty computes every series on this page from daily BTC close prices and public constants — the Bitcoin halving schedule, block subsidy and published regression coefficients. Values refresh nightly (00:20 UTC) and the current day is patched hourly. These are historical, backward-looking indicators; nothing here is investment advice.