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Bitcoin 200-Week Moving Average

Bitcoin 200 week moving average chart: the long-term average that has acted as the floor of every bear market, with the price-to-200WMA ratio that stretched at each top.

Updated · Oct 19, 2026 close
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The 200-week average has capped every bear-market low since 2015. Log scale.

200-week MA
$66,778
1,400-day simple average
Price / 200W MA
1.24×
signal fires at 3×
200W MA weekly change
+0.49%
the MA itself, last 7 days
BTC price
$82,541
Oct 19, 2026 close

Indicator overview

How the 200-Week Moving Average is calculated

200W MA = simple average of the last 1,400 daily closes

The 200-week moving average is computed on daily data (200 × 7 = 1,400 closes) so it updates every day rather than once a week. The ratio line is price divided by the average; the weekly-change figure tracks whether the average itself is still rising.

What it signals

Every bear-market low since 2015 has bottomed at or just below the 200-week MA, which is why it is quoted as Bitcoin's long-term floor. At tops the ratio stretched to 5–6× in 2017 and 2021 and only about 2.5× in 2025 — the threshold of 3× used on the hub is therefore conservative for a maturing market.

Limitations

  • A trend-following average lags by definition; it says nothing about timing.
  • The floor held in 2018, 2020 and 2022 but was pierced for weeks each time.

Frequently asked questions

What is Bitcoin's 200-week moving average today?

$66,778 as of Oct 19, 2026; Bitcoin trades at 1.24× of it.

Has Bitcoin ever closed below the 200-week moving average?

Yes — briefly in 2015, in early 2019, during March 2020 and for several months in late 2022. Each time the average acted as the bottoming zone rather than a hard floor.

Why is the 200-week MA calculated on daily data?

Using 1,400 daily closes gives the same average as 200 weekly closes but updates every day, so the ratio and the weekly-change figure are always current.

Is the BTC 200 week moving average the same as the 50 week moving average or the 200 DMA?

No. The BTC 200 week moving average covers about four years of closes and is the slowest of the three, which is why it marks bear-market floors. The bitcoin 50 week moving average spans roughly one year and reacts to each cycle phase, while the Bitcoin 200 day moving average (200 DMA) covers about seven months and is the denominator of the Mayer Multiple. Coinfuty charts the 200 DMA on the Bitcoin Mayer Multiple page.

Coinfuty computes every series on this page from daily BTC close prices and public constants — the Bitcoin halving schedule, block subsidy and published regression coefficients. Values refresh nightly (00:20 UTC) and the current day is patched hourly. These are historical, backward-looking indicators; nothing here is investment advice.