Bitcoin 200 week moving average chart: the long-term average that has acted as the floor of every bear market, with the price-to-200WMA ratio that stretched at each top.
The 200-week average has capped every bear-market low since 2015. Log scale.
200W MA = simple average of the last 1,400 daily closes
The 200-week moving average is computed on daily data (200 × 7 = 1,400 closes) so it updates every day rather than once a week. The ratio line is price divided by the average; the weekly-change figure tracks whether the average itself is still rising.
Every bear-market low since 2015 has bottomed at or just below the 200-week MA, which is why it is quoted as Bitcoin's long-term floor. At tops the ratio stretched to 5–6× in 2017 and 2021 and only about 2.5× in 2025 — the threshold of 3× used on the hub is therefore conservative for a maturing market.
$64,700 as of Sep 4, 2026; Bitcoin trades at 1.26× of it.
Yes — briefly in 2015, in early 2019, during March 2020 and for several months in late 2022. Each time the average acted as the bottoming zone rather than a hard floor.
Using 1,400 daily closes gives the same average as 200 weekly closes but updates every day, so the ratio and the weekly-change figure are always current.
Coinfuty computes every series on this page from daily BTC close prices and public constants — the Bitcoin halving schedule, block subsidy and published regression coefficients. Values refresh nightly (00:20 UTC) and the current day is patched hourly. These are historical, backward-looking indicators; nothing here is investment advice.