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  • Rainbow Chart
  • Power Law
  • Pi Cycle Top
  • Stock-to-Flow
  • 200-Week MA
  • Mayer Multiple
  • Puell Multiple
  • AHR999
  • 2-Year MA ×5
  • Golden Ratio
  • Profitable Days
Home › Bull Market Peak Indicators › Mayer Multiple

Mayer Multiple

Mayer Multiple chart: Bitcoin price divided by its 200-day moving average. Above 2.4 has marked overheated markets, below 0.8 deep-value zones. Updated daily.

Updated · Sep 4, 2026 close
BTC price200-day SMA2.4 × SMA200 (overheated)0.8 × SMA200 (deep value)
Loading chart…

Price above the red dashed line = Mayer Multiple over 2.4; below the green = under 0.8. Log scale.

Mayer Multiple
1.17
between 0.8 and 2.4
200-day SMA
$69,633
the denominator
Overheated level (2.4×)
+105.7%
overheated level (2.4×) at $167,118
BTC price
$81,245
Sep 4, 2026 close

Indicator overview

How the Mayer Multiple is calculated

Mayer Multiple = price / SMA(200)

The Mayer Multiple is the close divided by its 200-day simple moving average. The chart draws price, the 200-day average and two dashed reference levels: 2.4× the average (historically overheated) and 0.8× (historically deep value).

What it signals

Readings above 2.4 have preceded sharp corrections in every cycle, and the multiple rarely stayed there for more than a few weeks. Readings below 0.8 coincided with the 2015, 2018–19, 2020 and 2022 lows.

Limitations

  • A 200-day window is short for a cycle indicator; it flags local, not only cycle, extremes.
  • The 2.4 and 0.8 levels come from a 2017 backtest; the multiple's peaks have shrunk each cycle.

Frequently asked questions

What is the Mayer Multiple today?

1.17 as of Sep 4, 2026 — between the 0.8 and 2.4 reference levels.

What Mayer Multiple is considered high?

Above 2.4 has historically been the overheated zone: price more than 140% above its 200-day average. The multiple exceeded 2.4 at the 2013, 2017 and early-2021 tops and did not hold there for long.

Who invented the Mayer Multiple?

Trace Mayer proposed it in 2017 as a simple way to gauge whether Bitcoin was trading far from its long-term trend. The 200-day average and the 2.4 / 0.8 levels are his original parameters.

Coinfuty computes every series on this page from daily BTC close prices and public constants — the Bitcoin halving schedule, block subsidy and published regression coefficients. Values refresh nightly (00:20 UTC) and the current day is patched hourly. These are historical, backward-looking indicators; nothing here is investment advice.

More Bitcoin cycle indicators

All 21 peak signalsRainbow ChartPower Law4-Year CyclePi Cycle TopStock-to-Flow200-Week MAMayer MultiplePuell MultipleAHR9992-Year MA ×5Golden RatioProfitable DaysOI / Market CapFunding Z-ScoreLiquidations / OILong/Short RatioRSI (22-day)Altcoin SeasonBTC DominanceETF Outflow StreakETF HoldingsFear & GreedGlobal M2 vs BitcoinBitcoin ETF Tracker